An Objective Environmental Dictionary

This is an attempt to provide definitions of important and/or relevant terms in an objective or value-neutral manner. OK, in some cases my definition may be designed to make a point with one "side" or another in the debate, but I intend to hand these out to all sides equitably, wherever they are deserved. Mainly, though, recognizing that dialogue can only occur if two people or groups speak the same "language," my purpose is to provide working definitions around which discussions might revolve. Let me know if there's a term who's definition you'd like to see, or if you think that a definition is incorrect.

If you see a word in italics in one definition, that means that there is also a definition for it.

Note: you will find the words "allegation" and "claim" on this page. A primary goal of this site is to collect facts in the form of citations or references either supporting or refuting these items, preferably a large number of such. Just one or two known cases is only "anecdotal" evidence and so is not very persuasive. If you send me something with a citation or reference that can be checked, I will include it, no matter which "side" it supports.

March 23, 1997: I'm posting this with the first set of definitions. More will come as needed.

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Terms

Benefits, Benefits Forgone, Brownfields, Company Store, ppm, Risk Assessment, Risk-Benefit Analysis, Risk Management, Science, Statistics, Statistical Significance, Trust


Benefits

The fact is that there are many, many chemicals used today, and the modern technologies that are possible because them have given us better nutrition and longer, healthier lives than people in the past. This is true even for the poor, though life expectancy and health among the poor remain less than among the healthy. Therefore, while we want to protect ourselves against chemicals that are truly a danger, we would be worse off if we did away with all synthetic chemicals. For example, in the US we have a very safe water supply with respect to cholera and other water-born diseases and parasites. Water treatment by chlorination makes this possible in many municipalities. There may be some cancer risk as a result of chlorination, but this is far less than the risk of death if we did not chlorinate. Since both rich and poor in a city usually drink from the same supply, this is a benefit to all.

In order to determine if, for example, water chlorination really does provide a benefit, we need good estimates of any risk of cancer that might come from chlorination, and the risk of other diseases if we don't use it. If we only insist on zero cancer risk from chlorination by-products, which could only be achieved by not chlorinating, then we might create a very large risk of death from cholera. (This in fact has happened in some South American countries.) On the other hand, if we allow some cancer risk (such as one in a million) then it becomes possible to both achieve that goal and to still avoid the risk of cholera. Equity is also very important, but risk is unavoidable. Allowing some small level of cancer risk from the use of chemicals makes much greater benefits possible. The important questions are: "How do we balance the risks (and benefits) of different choices?" and "How do we provide equitable distribution of risks and benefits?"

Terms
Benefits Forgone

Remediating a waste site, or controlling pollution, has costs. In many cases those costs do come from public sources–taxes. There are many things that could be done with that money. For example, if there are two waste sites, and only enough money to clean up one of them this year, then by cleaning up one site we forgo the benefit of cleaning up the other site. Instead of waste clean-up, the tax dollars could also be used for education, or anything else we might desire. Therefore, and decision to take action results in benefits forgone somewhere else. Again, it is important to provide equity in making decisions, but if two low-income communities are next to waste sites, and we can only clean up one of them, it would seem prudent to pick the one which poses the greatest risk, since this choice would minimize the level of benefits forgone.

Terms
Brownfields

The term Brownfields was coined to describe abandoned industrial sites which are being left unused because of existing waste/pollution at the site. Typically the company that originally owned the site, and is responsible for the pollution, no longer exists, so there is no responsible party that can be forced to perform remediation. Further, the costs of remediating the sites to residential use standards are very high, so that government agencies can afford the remediation and business that might otherwise consider the site for redevelopment instead choose to develop/build on pristine land. Since many of the Brownfields are in urban areas, adjacent to low-income communities, potential job opportunities in those communities are lost by leaving the site undeveloped.

In addition to the costs of remediating the known waste problems at the site, a developer could also face the costs of additional clean-ups, if more waste is found, and/or the cost of law-suites from individuals or communities suffering adverse health effects from the existing waste. Because of these potential costs, lending institutions (banks) are very unlikely to provide loans needed for the development, even if the business wanted to go forward, without assurance that costs will be limited and hence a reasonable assurance of return on their investment. Thus, the current or standard regulatory environment is creating an undesirable situation: development of pristine land often distant from low-income communities while these Brownfields sit idle.

The Brownfields Initiative is a process where government authorities, developers, and lending institutions work together to provide less stringent clean-up standards for a site, given that it will be used for industry (making it unlikely that children, for example, would come into contact with the soil at the site), and assurances of limited responsibility for future problems at the site not caused by the developer. To many, this may seem an ideal resolution.

The Environmental Justice Movement (EJM) sees it differently. First, while it is claimed that these activities will provide additional jobs to the adjacent community, the EJM claims that most of the jobs, particularly the well-paying jobs, go to professionals working outside the community. Further, the business being developed often involves chemical production or significant chemical use. Since it is impossible to achieve zero emissions, and there are risks of accidental releases from these sites, the EJM sees that additional risk is being placed on the adjacent communities with little or no benefit to those communities. One document said of this initiative, "I smell a rat."

It seems to me that this issue of jobs is key. If adjacent communities did derive considerable economic benefit, then they would be more amenable to these initiatives. However, it also appears that just the promise of jobs is insufficient. I propose that what's needed is some form of guarantee of jobs, either in total number or in percent of work-force, or, perhaps best, in percent of payroll. Otherwise there will be a breach of trust, leading to further impasse in the future.

The only other alternative I can think of would be to force developers to use Brownfield sites, taking full liability and cleaning them up to strict standards, rather than using pristine areas. Since a developer can locate in just about any city, county, or state, the only way that this could be accomplished would be through federal legislation. I do not think it likely that this will occur, and hence I see no realistic alternative to the Brownfields Initiative.

Terms
Company Store

A protest song of the labor movement regarding past practices of the mining industry contained the line, "I owe my soul to the company store." This reflected the economic power that the company exerted over the local community, and the fact that this power was used to keep employees in debt, so that they must continue to labor for insufficient wages.

While the practice of running a "Company Store" in this way no longer occurs, it is still true that companies in small, poor, rural communities have and are alleged to abuse this kind of power. In particular, if a company is the only (significant) source of income in a community, then attempts by the community to get the company to reduce emissions may cause the company to close or relocate, resulting in economic devastation. I have been told confidentially (so I won't give the details) of just such a company where emissions and work-place exposures were horrendous, in just such a community which cannot afford to challenge the situation.

To me, this kind of practice should be unacceptable. Further, it leads to a lack of trust on the part of common citizens and low-income communities, reducing the possibility for real dialogue and compromise. I do not have any solution to offer.

Terms
ppm

Air concentrations are typically measured in parts per million, which is abbreviated ppm. One penny out of $10,000.00 is a ppm.


Terms
Risk Assessment

Risk assessment (RA) is the process evaluating the likelihood of an adverse health effect, with some statistical "confidence," for various levels of exposure. RA does not determine what level of risk is allowable or acceptable. Determining what we will be allowed or accepted is a part of Risk Management. RAs take many forms. For example, given claims by environmental groups that people are being or have been made sick by chemical exposure, one could ask if there is any proof of these claims. Well, RAs have been used to show that the health of people in certain neighborhoods or communities are, with high probability, affected by a particular chemical exposure, allowing those communities to obtain relief and/or legal action. (This is why I refer to RA as a "two-edged sword," in some cases it's use benefits low-income communities.

RA, as it is typically performed in evaluating the potential effects of low level chemical exposure, is the process of extrapolating outside the realm of current observations. (A colleague whom I admire refers to RA as "farting around in maybe land.") In fact, a RA is a form of hypothesis: it is a proposition about what the risks of low-level exposures are, given data on effects at high levels of exposure. If the RA is very far from the truth–too high or too low–then subsequent observations can prove it to be wrong. The very fact that some old RAs have been proven wrong shows that an RA is indeed a testable hypothesis. So, it is true that RA is not, by itself a science. RA is just one step in the scientific process. When assessing the risk of chemical exposure, the science in question is toxicology: the study of poisons.

Because we require Statistical Significance in any data we use, and because the number of individuals (people or experimental animals) for which we have data is always limited, the lowest level of risk we can actually measure is about 1 in a hundred, and we are lucky if we have data as low as 1 in 10. This means that to predict the level of exposure that would yield a risk as low as one in ten thousand or one in a million, we must extrapolate way below the actual data. This does introduce considerable uncertainties. Therefore, Statistics are used in the process to compensate for the uncertainties, as well as additional safety factors.

I will use an example to better explain what an RA is, and to give a better idea of how one should interpret the numbers that come out of RA. I will consider a chemical, "X", which is known to cause a form of cancer, "Y", for which we wish to describe the risk of exposure: a risk assessment. Keep in mind that this one way to perform an RA. It is also basically the default method used to determine cancer risk.

The primary aspect of a RA is fitting a mathematical function to the existing data. A function is needed to predict risks at levels below the observed data. This process is depicted in the following figure.

risk plot
Figure Depicting a Hypothetical Risk Assessment

In this figure, a linear extrapolation is used (a straight line which only predicts zero risk at zero exposure.) Because there is "noise" in the data (you can't draw a straight line that goes through all the data) there is some level of uncertainty or variability associated with the data. Therefore, in addition to the central we also use Statistics to obtain upper and lower 95% confidence limits. That is, given some reasonable assumptions about the randomness in the data, two more lines are drawn such that there is a 95% probability that the true line–the one we would draw if we had perfect knowledge–lies between these two. There is a 2.5% chance that the actual line lies above the upper limit and a 2.5% chance that the actual line lies below the lower limit. Therefore, the chance that the actual line lies below the upper limit is 97.5%, not 95%. I have also drawn a curve that might represent the true dose-response relationship (to spark discussion.) The slope of the upper 95% confidence limit is sometimes referred to as the q1* because of the mathematical notation that is often used.

It is recognized that the noise in the data might not capture all of the variability or uncertainty in the risk. Therefore, additional factors of 10 are used to multiply the risk (or divide the concentration) based on identified uncertainties. Often two or three factors of 10 are used. I have shown what happens when 1 or 2 factors of 10 (safety margin of 10 or 100) are used.

So what does all this mean? It means that when the EPA or other government agencies say that the risk of exposure to X at some concentration, call it "Z", is one in a million, the actual risk is likely to be much, much less. (The RA shown here assumes that risk is proportional to exposure, and the calculations also often assume that exposure lasts for an entire lifetime.) Alternately, there is a chance that the real risk is higher than one in a million, but I think that the odds of this are minuscule. This also means that you should not assume that exposure at concentration Z gives a risk of exactly one in a million, and that exposure at concentration 2X gives a risk of exactly two in a million. Similarly, exposure to a mixture of ten chemicals, all at their "one in a million" level does not necessarily cause a risk of ten in a million–because at least one factor of ten was probably used to divide the original q*, the actual risk is probably still less than one in a million.

Finally, you should note that the RA does not say what level of risk is acceptable. Any level of risk can be selected and specified on the "Risk" axis. From there, one can draw a line across to the regulatory risk line and then down to find the corresponding exposure concentration. Selecting what level of risk will be allowed, or is "acceptable", is a part of the Risk Management process. The RA does not say what the "Target" Risk should be.

Terms
Risk-Benefit Analysis

The fact is, we would not use chemicals unless someone derived a benefit from their use. Likewise, the more that we work to remediate a waste site, the greater the other benefits forgone. Also, it is simply impossible to completely eliminate the risk of cancer that comes from using chemicals. Zero emissions cannot be achieved. In order for a business to operate, and for regulations to be enforceable, the regulations must set achievable goals. So while the idea of setting zero emissions as a goal is attractive in some ways, it would not be a workable solution.

By analogy, suppose that a restaurant chef set as a goal "zero dirt" on the counter tops before she could start cooking. Well, at some point the chef must stop cleaning and start cooking. Though this goal sounds good, it doesn't tell the chef how to serve meals with a reasonable level of food safety.

So to have a chemical industry, we must allow some level of risk from chemical exposure in setting regulatory standards. Likewise, we must set achievable standards for waste site clean-ups. In either case we then allow some risk in return for benefits. Risk-Benefit Analysis is any method by which one attempts to measure or quantify the level of risk and the level of benefit associated with a particular regulatory decision. A similar practice is Comparative Risk Analysis, in which one seeks to determine, in the face of a decision, which choice will lead to the lesser risk (given that both choices have some level of risk.)

In performing a risk-benefit analysis, it is also important to consider who enjoys the benefit and who is subject to the risk. But since decisions in Risk Management do trade risks for benefits, I would think it preferable to have some measure of how much benefit and how much risk is involved. Deciding what to do with that information (including the "who"s) is a difficult issue, but I cannot see how it would be better to make that decision without these measures. And when the "benefits" are reductions in risk to the general public, or other public services that would otherwise be forgone, where the benefits and risks are distributed equitably, then use of quantitative measures seems imperative.

Also see my page on the
value of human life.

Terms
Risk Management

Risk Management is the process of taking information from various sources, including Risk Assessment, and using it to make regulatory (decisions) about what actions should or will be taken to control pollution or remediate waste sites. It is in Risk Management that value judgments such as the acceptability of risk (at some level), any consideration of the value of benefits or benefits forgone, and comparisons of potential risks takes place. For a much longer discussion on the topic, see the page on
Conceptual Models in Environmental Policy.

Terms
Science

Some environmentalists say that Risk Assessment is so uncertain that it is not even science. The Random House dictionary gives several definitions of which I will use the 2nd: "systematic knowledge of the material world gained through observation and experimentation." The scientific method, upon which any science is based, is defined as: "a method of research in which a problem is identified, relevant data are gathered, a hypothesis is formulated from these data, and the hypothesis is empirically (experimentally) tested."

Note first that the definitions say nothing about certainty. Each hypothesis may or may not be correct, so to say that the uncertainty of Risk Assessment makes it unscientific is spurious. Psychiatry is a science–it fits the definition–even though there are great uncertainties in its application.

Terms
Statistics

Statistics is a branch of mathematics that deals with probabilities. The fact is that life and health are uncertain. Suppose that we know of six groups of people, with 100 people in each group. The first three groups, are not exposed to a chemical, and the other three are exposed to 100 ppm of the chemical in the air. Suppose also that in the number of cancers in each of the unexposed groups is 0 in the first group, 1 in the second, and 2 in the third. Likewise, suppose that in the exposed groups the numbers of cancers is 4 in the first, 5 in the second, and 6 in the third. We can say that among all these groups the average cancer rate went from 1% (1 per 100) in the unexposed group to 5% in the exposed group, which suggests that the 100 ppm of the chemical increases the risk of cancer 5 times. But suppose now that we find out about two more groups of 100, one exposed and one not, with 1 cancer in the unexposed group and 13 in the exposed group. Then the average for all exposed groups is now 7%!

The point is that, because we cannot observe and determine the exposures of every single person, we can never know the true risk of some exposure–if we collect more data then our estimate will change–so we will always be uncertain about the risk. If we only knew about the last two groups mentioned above, we would estimate 13% cancer in exposed groups. So whenever we estimate the actual risk of cancer, the real number could be higher, or lower.

But what we really want to know is that the risk is no higher than some level. Another way to say this is that we want an upper bound on the risk. Using statistics, one can calculate an upper bound from the observations with some level of certainty. For example, with only the first three groups mentioned above, where 4, 5, and 6 out of 100 people had cancer, we could estimate that, with 95% confidence, the actual risk is between 3% and 7%, and that with 97% confidence the actual risk is less than 7%. (There's a 2.5% chance that the actual risk is less than 3%.) When a level of risk is reported, it is usually based on an "upper 95% confidence limit" such as this.

So statistics makes it possible to account for the fact that we don't have perfect knowledge, and to provide a safety margin when we calculate a risk. We can never be 100% certain of the answer, but we can be reasonably confident in the result.

Terms
Statistical Significance

In the definition of statistics above, three unexposed groups of 100 people each were given as an example, with 0 cancers in the first group, 1 in the second, and 2 in the third. This could happen randomly. In particular, although there were more cancers in the last group than in the other two, these were not due to an exposure. Just because more cancers are observed in one group than in another doesn't mean that the excess had some definable cause. Differences can occur randomly.

Because we derive benefits from the use of chemicals, and Risk management decisions often result in other benefits forgone we need to determine which chemicals present a true risk, and to accurately determine the level of that risk. Therefore, when analyzing data or observations of cancer incidence or other health effects, we also want some level of certainty that an observation did not occur randomly. Statistical Significance is a measure of the probability that an event did not occur randomly. Insisting on significance is a way of assuring that we do not loose or forgo tangible benefits, or incur far greater risks of a different kind, in an attempt to avoid insignificant risks of one kind.

Terms
Trust

I like definition #6 from the Random House dictionary: the obligation or responsibility imposed on a person in whom confidence or authority is placed. An important part of trust is the placement of confidence. Currently, the Environmental Justice movement does not trust government regulatory agencies, let alone the chemical industry. This has occurred in part because of actual or perceived breach of trust on the part of some chemical companies–trust was placed and then squandered. I submit that constructive dialogue and real solutions, to move beyond the current impasse between Environmental Justice and the use of Risk Assessment in Risk Management, requires that some level of trust be re-earned. The questions are: How can this be accomplished? And is the chemical industry, in particular, willing to do the work required? The first question is addressed in an article, The determinants of trust and credibility in environmental risk communication: an empirical study, Peters, Covello, McCallum, Risk Analysis, 17:43. The conclusion they reach is that trust and credibility depend on 3 factors: pereceptions of knowledge and expertise (you have to look like you know what you're talking about); perceptions of openness and honesty; and perceptions of concern and care.

Terms
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